NFL Picks: Can Denver Broncos Peyton Manning defeat his replacement, Indianapolis Colts Andrew Luck?

Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning keeps his hands warm during practice for the team's NFL divisional playoff game against the Indianapolis Colts. (David Zalubowski/AP)

Now that was ugly.

No, not the performance of the Bengals in the second half at Indianapolis in our Upset Special.

And not the controversy over the officiating in Dallas’ victory against Detroit.

The way Pro Picks faltered out of the post-season gate, going 0-4 against the spread: THAT was ugly.

So it’s time to rectify. Here we go — but with no upset special this week. Still trying to shake off the effects of the previous one.

No. 8 Indianapolis (plus 7) at No. 5 Denver, Sunday

The focus, deservedly, will be on Peyton Manning and the quarterback who replaced him in Indianapolis, Andrew Luck. How juicy would a shootout between those two be?

Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning keeps his hands warm during practice for the team’s NFL divisional playoff game against the Indianapolis Colts. (David Zalubowski/AP)

This one very well might be decided by the defences, however, which means advantage Denver, despite what Indy did against playoff flop Cincinnati.

Denver was undefeated at home this season, including an opening 31-24 victory over the Colts. The Broncos have displayed more balance on defence than Indy, which can be run on. With the way Denver has redesigned its offence recently, that could be a decided edge.

As can being off last week. Boy, did Denver need the bye.

“Luckily, we’ve played well enough in the season to get a bye week, which helped us, because if we played last week, (linebacker) Brandon Marshall probably doesn’t play and (safety) T.J. (Ward) is probably a little rusty,” tackle Terrance Knighton said. “Those three days off allowed people to refocus and it’s almost like a new season now.”

Which will begin with another win.

BEST BET: BRONCOS, 33-20

No. 10 (tie) Baltimore (plus 7) at No. 2 New England, Saturday

If there’s one team that doesn’t fear a journey to Foxborough, it’s the Ravens. They’ve won there twice in the post-season, including the 2012 AFC title game that preceded their victory over San Francisco in the Super Bowl. The year before, they lost by three points when Billy Cundiff missed a chip-shot field goal to force overtime.

New England always is formidable at home, winning all seven of the games that meant anything this season. Having gone a decade since their last Super Bowl crown, the Patriots, most notably Tom Brady, are on a mission.

Yes, Baltimore was impressive in winning at Pittsburgh last Saturday night, and Joe Flacco has become just as clutch at quarterback as anyone. But the Ravens’ secondary remains questionable despite shutting down the Steelers.

PATRIOTS, 28-24

No. 13 Carolina (plus 10 1/2) at No. 1 Seattle, Saturday

Give credit to the Panthers for winning four straight to take the NFC South, then handling Arizona in the wild-card round. Then consider that the victories were over New Orleans, Tampa, Cleveland and Atlanta — all losing clubs — and the injury-weakened Cardinals.

Cam Newton and Mike Tolbert of the Carolina Panthers celebrate after Tolbert caught a touchdown pass against the Arizona Cardinals. (Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Seattle appears to be peaking, especially on defence, where it has that nasty and stingy edge again. It doesn’t usually blow out opponents and probably won’t do so against Carolina. But the Seahawks are on a mission, too, trying to become the first repeat Super Bowl champs since the Patriots of 2003-04.

SEAHAWKS: 23-13

No. 4 Dallas (plus 6) at No. 3 Green Bay, Sunday

Hard to believe the Cowboys have not been back to Lambeau Field in the post-season since the 1967 Ice Bowl. Equally hard to believe this is a matchup (for the first time) of an 8-0 road team against an 8-0 host.

Having already won in Seattle, the Cowboys know all about handling the toughest environment in pro football. Except Green Bay in January, with all the weather considerations — not to mention Aaron Rodgers chucking the ball, Eddie Lacy carrying it, and an improving defence led by Clay Matthews — is another animal. A grizzly, perhaps.

Seattle fans cheer over signs predicting a second Super Bowl win for the Seahawks. (John Froschauer/AP)

Seattle fans cheer over signs predicting a second Super Bowl win for the Seahawks. (John Froschauer/AP) [John Froschauer/AP]

PACKERS, 27-24

2014 RECORD: Against spread: This week (0-4); Season (128-120-5). Straight up: This week (2-2); Season (171-87-1)

Best Bet: 7-11 against spread, 11-7 straight up.

Upset special: 9-9 against spread, 7-11 straight up.

Source:: canada.com


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